Chicago Blackhawks @ Boston Bruins

Chicago Blackhawks @ Boston Bruins

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Prediction: Under 4.5 (+121)

Key Points:

  • BOS has allowed just 4 goals in their last 5 home games.
  • CHI is 5-1-2 to the under on the road.
  • BOS is 5-3-2 to the under on home ice.
  • Goaltending and penalty killing has been great in this series.

The Boston Bruins continue to play their game which is to physically wear down and intimidate the Chicago Blackhawks. After two consecutive wins it appears the Bruins are getting to the Hawks. Game 3 ended with some frustration being shown by the Hawks as Bryan Bickell and Zdeno Chara got into it which led to Brad Marchand and Andrew Shaw having a heated exchange. This is exactly the type of game the Bruins thrive on so if Chicago wants to take game four they are going to have to be much more disciplined and emotionless. Since their 4 goal outburst in game one Chicago has managed only 1 goal in the next two games. In fact they have not scored a goal on Tuukka Rask in over 120 straight minutes. The Bruins defence has done an excellent job at keeping Chicago’s stars in check and limiting their quality scoring chances. Chicago has had a tough time getting to the front of the net and finding open space to bang away at rebounds. Chicago simply must get dirty if they hope to beat Tuukka Rask with the way he’s been playing. Game four is not a must win for either team, but Chicago obviously does not want to go down 3-1. If they do in fact lose game four though they won’t be totally deflated as they faced the same deficit against the Red Wings and ended up reeling off three straight wins to take the series in 7. Overall in the series the Bruins have delivered 25 more hits than the Hawks, most of those being of the bone crunching variety. Marian Hossa appeared to tweak something in warmups before game three but he is expected to play in game four.

Since their 7 goal outburst in game one the two teams have combined for just 5 goals in their next two games. Both goaltenders have been excellent in this series along with both teams penalty kills which are hitting at a combined 92.3% through three games. Chicago is 9-6-5 to the under so far in the playoffs including a 5-1-2 mark on the road. The Bruins are 9-8-2 to the under in the post-season and hold a 5-3-2 under mark on home ice including 4 straight unders. The Bruins have held their opposition to just 4 total goals in their last 5 home games. Tuukka Rask has not allowed a goal in over 120 minutes as well. Both teams penalty kills rank among the leaders in the playoffs as the Hawks are 2nd at 92.5% while the Bruins continue to climb as they are now up to 88.9% on the PK. The Bruins have killed off all 11 Chicago powerplays so far in this series. Chicago just hasn’t scored nearly as much on the road than at home and the Bruins have been shutting teams down badly at home. Chicago has scored just 14 goals in 12 road games while the Bruins have averaged 2.9 goals per game on home ice and just 1.7 against.

Both of these teams have the talent to score a bunch of goals and push this game over. However just watching this series play out so far I think we have to continue to back the under. These teams have combined for just 5 goals in their last two games. Both teams goalies are playing spectacular and with the lack of production on special teams by both clubs even if it turns into a parade to the penalty box it doesn’t necessarily mean there will be a ton of goals scored. Boston has been unreal defensively at home in the playoffs particularly lately as they have allowed just 4 goals in their last 5 games. The under 5 was quite chalky last game and we find the line at 4.5 (+121) currently. 4.5′s can easily go over as both teams need just 2 goals and the over is cashed. However there is no need to be completely scared off by this number. This game could easily end 2-0, 2-1 or 3-1 and the under will cash. Gotta stick with the trends and the facts in front of me for this total.

Pick: Under 4.5 (+121)

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Chicago Blackhawks @ Boston Bruins, 8.0 out of 10 based on 1 rating
Dennis Green

I grew up an avid sports fan and that transitioned to sports betting for me at the age of 21. I have always been obsessed with numbers and stats and used to keep track of my own player and team stats back before the internet took off. I would say fantasy sports was the springboard that led me to sports betting as I liked the competitiveness and rewards of it. I have a regular 9-5 job as well and learned the hard way many years ago that it is very tough to make a living off of gambling. For me I treat it more of a hobby now and as an income supplement. Having money on the game makes the games all that more enjoyable (and stressful sometimes) and I find myself watching sports I would never watch due to this. Hockey is definitely my bread and butter as I know the sport inside and out. I am from BC, Canada and am an avid Canucks fan. I also am a big Bluejays and Packers fan. Sports betting is a huge passion of mine and I have been successful and profitable every year in the NHL for the last 5 years.

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